- Financial centres remain weak, with contraction in take-up in Singapore and Hong Kong
- Beijing and Australian markets also saw a slow-down in take up of office space
- Steady take up seen in Japan, South Korea and emerging Southeast Asia
- Net effective rents flat or showing modest growth across Asia Pacific markets; aggregate rental growth across the region of 0.3 percent in Q1 compared to 0.4 percent in Q4 2012
- India’s slow office leasing activity continues in 1Q 201313 as well, but likely to be marginally better than that witnessed in 2012
SINGAPORE, 14 May 2013 – Leasing activity in Asia Pacific’s Tier 1 office markets remained generally subdued in the first quarter of 2013, according to real estate advisory firm Jones Lang LaSalle, in its latest Asia Pacific Office Index.
Whilst take-up of grade A office space contracted in Singapore, Hong Kong, Australian cities and Beijing, it was steady in Japan, South Korea and emerging Southeast Asia; strong demand in Manila and Jakarta was actually constrained by a lack of available space.
Jeremy Sheldon, Managing Director, Markets, said: “Overall, while business sentiment amongst occupiers is better in 2013 compared 2012 this has not translated into activity as yet – the “lag” between business optimism and take-up means we are likely to see a pick up toward year end and into 2014. There is a keen focus across all industries on better space utilisation, which if anything will to add to this “lag”. This slowdown is being affected by both international and domestic firms, who, until recently had been a big component of the take-up. Companies remain very cautious in forecasting their space needs.”
Net effective rents in the first quarter of 2013 were flat or grew only modestly across the region; of the 27 featured markets in the Jones Lang LaSalle Index, 14 saw a quarterly increase and the remainder either stabilised or declined. Aggregate rental growth across the region averaged 0.3 percent quarter on quarter, compared to 0.4 percent in Q4 2012.
Anuj Puri, Chairman & Country Head, Jones Lang LaSalle India, says, “India’s economy performed below trend in 2012. India’s GDP growth came in at roughly 5% for 2012, the weakest result since 2009. The economic slowdown seems to have bottomed out, but any recovery in 2013 may be tepid due to on-going weakness in the manufacturing sector and Government spending cuts. Inflation is still relatively high (6.0% y-o-y in March), although it has moderated in recent months, partly due to weak domestic demand. GI expects economic growth to strengthen moderately to 6.0% in 2013. Slow office leasing activity continues in 1Q 201313 as well; however, it is likely to be marginally better than that witnessed in 2012. We expect 27.2 million sft of office space net absorption in CY 2013.”
Jakarta saw the largest quarterly rent increase (7.4 percent) due to a lack of quality space in the market, and increases of between one and four percent were seen in other emerging Southeast Asian markets (Kuala Lumpur 2.3 percent and Bangkok 4.1 percent).
Beijing, which was a strong performer in 2012, saw the largest quarter on quarter rental decline (-3.7 percent) as leasing activity slowed markedly. Rents declined further in Hong Kong (-1.3 percent) as landlords at the top end of the market have remained under pressure, although rents in Singapore stabilised for the first time since 3Q 2011. Effective rents fell in most Australian cities, by one to three percent, with the biggest quarterly fall of 3.3 percent in Perth.
Dr Jane Murray, Head of Asia Pacific Research, Jones Lang LaSalle commented: “Landlords are taking a cautious stance on asking rents and we expect corporate occupiers to remain reluctant to pay higher rents. We do however expect the market to become more favourable to landlords after mid-year as regional economic growth gradually picks up. Whilst we think that rental growth will be limited in most markets in the short term, we expect single-digit growth for the full calendar year, with rents in Hong Kong, Singapore and Beijing starting to recover in the second half and the biggest uplift likely to be seen in Jakarta.”